United Nations Subnational Under-five Mortality Estimates, 1990–2019
In close coordination with the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) we have produced subnational estimates
The team was led by Jon Wakefield and Jessica Godwin and included Zehang Richard Li, Julianne Meisner, Taylor Okonek, Johnny Paige, Peter Gao, Geir-Arne Fuglstad, Miranda Fix, Andrea Riebler, Sam Clark, Tracy Dong, Yunhan Wu, Ziyu Jiang, Orvalho Augusto, Serge Aleshin-Guendel, Avi Kenny and Yue Chu. Valuable input was given by Lucia Hug, Danzhen You and Dave Sharrow of UN IGME and the UN IGME Technical Advisory Group (TAG), in particular Jon Pedersen, Trevor Croft and Patrick Gerland.
The methods are described in the brochure that can be downloaded from here and in the papers below, in particular Wakefield et al. (2019) and Wakefield, Okonek and Pedersen (2020).
The estimates were obtained using the SUMMER package, available at CRAN: SUMMER
WHO Excess Mortality during the Pandemic
The revised paper and supplement describing the methods used to estimate global and country-specific excess mortality are here and here. The paper and supplement discuss the estimates for India, Germany and Sweden in detail.
Since February 2021 I've been part of the World Health Organization (WHO) Technical Advisory Group (TAG) on COVID-19 Mortality Assessment, and leading the model development efforts to produce estimates of excess mortality over the course of the pandemic.
In particular, I have worked closely with William Msemburi (WHO, Geneva, Switzerland), Victoria Knutson (Department of Biostatistics, UW), Serge Aleshin-Guendel (Department of Biostatistics, UW) and Ariel Karlinsky (Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel).